23/02/2019. Fortuna Dusseldorf - Nurnberg. Preview + forecast. Cards

In the previous preview, Corner-stats.com team successfully predicted total corners under 9 in the match Olympiacos - AEK (3:2 corners score).

Today we will analyze the match of German Bundesliga Fortuna - Nurnberg. Both teams have risen in the class this season and are old friends of Bundesliga 2. Nürnberg takes the last place and there is nothing to lose, the team will struggle to win, and the opponent is suitable for it.

Corner-stats.com team believes that the intensity of passions on the match will be large, which will result in a lot of cards.

Let's see what the statistics of Asian total cards (on system 1+2) say for total cards over 4 for the teams:

• 7 (+ 1 return) from 12 H2H matches in the 2012-2019 seasons;
• 3 (+ 2 returns) from 11 home matches of Fortuna Dusseldorf in the 2018/19 season;
• 3 (+ 3 returns) out of 10 Nurnberg away matches in the 2018/19 season;
• 6 (+ 1 return) from 10 Fortuna Dusseldorf matches with teams similar to Nurnberg in the 2016-2019 seasons;
• 9 (+ 4 returns) from 17 Nurnberg matches with teams similar to Fortuna Dusseldorf in the 2016-2019 season.

In this way, the statistics of H2H and similar matches clearly point to a total cards over 4.

And of course, let's analyze referee of the match, because in the issue of cards, his style of judging plays a very big role: Sasha Stegemann has more than 8 years of referee experience, so he already has a developed style of refereeing, and his statistics say that on average in the season 2018/19 In the Bundesliga, he has 4.12 points on cards (that is, to show the card is not a problem for him, and if there is a lot of passion in the field, then there can be 10 cards for both teams as it was in the match Eintracht - Wolfsburg 02/12/18) .

Corner-stats.com team thinks the bet on the Asian cards total (for the system 1 + 2) over 4 to be good, given the quite high odds for this outcome of 2.17 (at Pinnacle).